How Long Can the Cowboys Stay Alive in the NFC Playoff Hunt?

Las Vegas has provided an escape for decades, a recreational fantasy that sprouted from the desert floor like a cactus in the mind of Bugsy Siegel. The city is designed for visitors to indulge, enjoy, and forget their troubles. The Cowboys did just that on their excursion to southern Nevada. A win over the Raiders was an inspiring moment for a team coming off a tumultuous bye week that turned tragic.

And now? Three games in 12 days will bring the Cowboys crashing back to reality. Sunday’s rematch with Philadelphia begins a stretch that should remind fans the trades Jerry Jones made ahead of the deadline fuels hope and playoff aspirations heading into next season, not this one.

Consecutive games against the Eagles, Chiefs, and Lions would humble the best of teams. The Cowboys (humbly) don’t belong in that category. An ardent fan base, giddy in the wake of what it witnessed against Las Vegas, will blurt out, “A win over Philadelphia would…”

Let’s flip the conversation. An Eagles win would give the defending Super Bowl champions a 41/2-game lead in the division with six to play. Philadelphia would own the tiebreaker by virtue of its season sweep and drop Dallas to 4-6-1. To win the NFC East, the Cowboys would have to run the table while the Eagles went winless in the final six games. That’s where the pesky tie against Green Bay comes into play; it might as well be viewed as a loss.

In essence, the window to capture the division is closed if the Cowboys lose on Sunday. With a win, they would narrow the deficit to two and a half games—still not exactly a position of strength. Again, the tie complicates things.

Cynics point to the fact Philadelphia has only beaten one team by more than seven points, and that was the New York Giants. Saquon Barkley isn’t the force he was when he led the NFL in rushing in 2024 and was named the league’s Offensive Player of the Year in Philly’s title (not tush) push. Funny, but 482 touches in the regular season and playoffs will do that to a back. The Eagles have scraped together a mere 26 points in their last two games.

Still, let’s not lose sight of the big picture. Philadelphia carries a four-game winning streak into Sunday’s game at AT&T Stadium, with Green Bay and Detroit as its last two victims. Dallas hasn’t been above .500 and has yet to win back-to-back games. The Cowboys opened the month by losing to Arizona, a lackluster bunch that proceeded to go 0-2 and get outscored 85-44 after beating Dallas. The Cowboys’ four wins are against teams with a combined record of 9-33.

After Philadelphia, Kansas City comes in on Thanksgiving. The Chiefs are a head-scratching 5-5 heading into their game against Indianapolis this weekend. Their record is closer to that of the Cowboys than the Eagles, the team that routed them in Super Bowl LIX.

Vulnerable? More like desperate. The Chiefs can’t afford many more losses if they expect to return to the postseason. And a desperate team helmed by the greatest quarterback of his generation is a scary sight for any defense, let alone one as lifeless as Dallas’.

Like Kansas City, Detroit is also on the outside of the playoff picture looking in. But the Lions beat Dallas by 38 points at AT&T Stadium last season and the rematch is in Detroit. You may think the Cowboys’ road woes are behind them after they throttled the Raiders. I’d argue the jury is still out.

Dallas needs to beat all three teams to have a viable shot at the playoffs. Raise your hand if you believe that’s feasible. That’s what I thought. Winning two games would boost morale, but still leave the Cowboys at .500 entering the final full month of the season with a handful of teams ahead of them in the wild card race.

This stretch isn’t about getting back into the playoff race. It’s about—to borrow one of Jones’ favorite phrases—making sure the arrow is pointing up heading into the offseason. It’s about seeing which players, especially on the defensive side of the ball, can help and where the emphasis needs to be in free agency and the draft.

Chaotic doesn’t come close to describing the Dallas bye week. After getting by Arizona, in a span of 52 hours, the Cowboys traded for Quinnen Williams and Logan Wilson and were devastated by the news that Marshawn Kneeland took his own life . No one should minimize what the 33-16 win over Las Vegas meant to the Cowboys, especially as an emotional salve for a tragic death that will hang over the team the remainder of the season.

The win over the Raiders was cathartic. But don’t label it as a springboard to a belated playoff sprint. Call it what it was: a trip to Vegas.

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