
Jordan Love has two years under his belt as the Green Bay Packers starter, and while his injury-ridden 2024 campaign somewhat clouds the overall assessment of his play so far, the stats can still provide a solid picture of the type of quarterback Love has been.
Let’s analyze the areas where Love has excelled through two seasons, where he has struggled, as well as where he seems to be improving or regressing:
Strengths
The simplest way to describe Love as a passer after two years is that he is very efficient, consistently gaining yardage but not sacrificing throwing the ball downfield, which is a difficult combination to find.
Compared to the other quarterbacks who played enough snaps to qualify between 2023 and 2024, Love ranks in the 77th percentile for yards per attempt (YPA) and the 83rd percentile for average depth of target (ADOT).
To add some context: Love had an average YPA of 7.6 over the last two seasons, and an ADOT of 9.05. The only other quarterbacks who matched both of those numbers were Lamar Jackson and C.J. Stroud.
Love has been an efficient short passer and a strong deep passer so far, with his YPA number ranking in the 72nd percentile for short passes and the 69th for deep passes, while also carrying a deep ADOT in the 79th percentile.
The overall success as a short passer has been largely a product of improved play in that regard in his second season. His adjusted completion percentage (which accounts for drops), improved from the 53rd percentile in 2023 to the 70th percentile in 2024.
On the whole, he has passed the ball well under pressure, and this is partially due to his ability to avoid sacks, which is Love’s true superpower. He ranks in the 90th percentile compared to his fellow quarterbacks in pressure-to-sack rate since 2023.
His size makes him difficult to get down quickly, and his ability to throw the ball from different arm angles means he can get rid of the ball from compromised positions before it is too late.
His YPA and ADOT rank in the 90th and 91st percentile respectively under pressure, he did struggle more in 2024 in some aspects of playing under duress (more on that later), but his completion percentage under pressure has been consistently above average.
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Weaknesses
The biggest weakness in Love’s game to date is his accuracy, which shows up in his completion percentage, even when adjusted for drops. He ranks in the 33rd percentile for completion percentage and the 35th for adjusted completion percentage among qualified quarterbacks.
It is no secret Love misses too many gimmes, and this often comes down to his footwork and mechanics. Because he has the arm talent to be able to throw from any platform, his feet do not have to be perfect, but this leads to bad habits at times and him missing routine throws.
His lack of accuracy on simple screen passes shows Love’s issues starkly, especially looking at his 2023 numbers, when he ranked in the 3rd percentile for adjusted completion percentage on screens.
Even if he does complete short or screen passes, they are often poorly placed, limiting the opportunity for yards after the catch.
In terms of depth, Love’s weakest area is his intermediate passing. It is not egregiously bad, but he ranks in the 41st percentile for adjusted completion percentage, the 43rd percentile for big time throw rate (BTT%), and the 45th percentile for turnover-worthy play rate (TWP%).
Despite generally faring well against pressure, Love’s TWP% against the blitz has consistently been below average, perhaps rushing his decision when seeing extra bodies on the way.
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Although Love has struggled to make the simple throws at times, he actually improved in that regard, and in his general accuracy, in 2024.
His overall adjusted completion percentage improved from the 26th percentile to the 43rd percentile between 2023 and 2024. The QB also found more consistency in making the routine plays, even while dealing with injuries which could have impacted his fundamentals.
Love’s adjusted completion percentage on screens jumped from the 3rd percentile to the 63rd, while his adjusted completion percentage on short passes increased from the 53rd percentile to the 70th.
Having the self awareness to acknowledge areas for improvement, and the discipline to lock in on fundamentals is crucial for quarterbacks. Love is never likely to lead the league in completion percentage, but it is encouraging to see him working to improve it.
He has improved his overall game without play action, which can be a crutch for young quarterbacks in particular. Love improved in terms of completion percentage, YPA and adjusted completion percentage on plays with no play action.
Love also did a better job in 2024 of not putting the football at risk when under pressure, or when throwing it deep, improving from the 48th to the 59th percentile and the 41st to the 63rd percentile respectively.
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Love did not play as well overall in 2024 as he did in 2023, but there were two major factors in play: his various injuries which began in Week 1 and appeared to bother him all year, and his receiver’s dropping a ludicrous number of passes.
He fell from the 46th percentile in completion percentage to the 20th, in large part because of those drops, with his adjusted completion percentage actually going in the opposite direction.
For his part, Love’s BTT% dropped from the 75th percentile to the 36th in 2024, as he became more of a game manager in Green Bay’s run-heavy offense, and was not asked to do as much, likely due to his injury issues.
However his TWP% also declined in 2024 from the 63rd percentile to the 45th, with some questionable decision making in the first half of the season in particular.
His BTT% and TWP% both fell off a cliff in the intermediate passing game, dropping from the 68th and 63rd percentile to the 18th and 27th respectively.
The injuries undoubtedly impacted Love’s play throughout the year, and they caused some specific issues.
Love was far worse on play action in 2024, which helps to explain why Matt LaFleur and the Packers limited their use of it.
He likely did not feel comfortable moving around and turning his back to the defense, feeling more vulnerable than if he was healthy. Love’s completion percentage, BTT%, TWP% and adjusted completion percentage all declined sharply in 2024 on play action.
He also struggled more against the blitz and slightly more against pressure, with a lack of mobility probably a factor there.
The opportunity to see what Love could really do in his second year was essentially robbed by the injuries he fought through, and that leaves an element of the unknown as to what he can be in 2025.
At worst, he has established himself as an above average starting quarterback with some defined strengths and some weaknesses which he shows signs of improving.
The question is how good can his best assets become, and how much can he mitigate his weak spots? 2025 should provide a good indicator of what to expect from Love for the rest of his career.