{"id":6189,"date":"2024-12-12T01:00:48","date_gmt":"2024-12-12T01:00:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/breakingnews.azontree.com\/?p=6189"},"modified":"2024-12-12T01:00:48","modified_gmt":"2024-12-12T01:00:48","slug":"breaking-where-patriots-stand-in-espn-fpis-updated-draft-order-projections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/breakingnews.azontree.com\/?p=6189","title":{"rendered":"BREAKING: Where Patriots stand in ESPN FPI&#8217;s updated draft order projections"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"article-header__subtitle\">The Patriots have almost a 1-in-4 chance to get the No. 1 pick.<\/h2>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.zenfs.com\/en\/csnne.com\/db66f468f637e4d2ce73717fe1f9880d\" alt=\"Where Patriots stand in ESPN FPI's updated draft order projections - Yahoo  Sports\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The New England Patriots moved up from the No. 4 pick to the No. 3 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft order after the results of the Week 14 games went final, and it&#8217;s still possible for the AFC East team to climb further before the 2024 regular season concludes.<\/p>\n<p>But for that to happen, the Patriots would need one of the teams in front of them &#8212; the Las Vegas Raiders (2-11) and New York Giants (2-11) &#8212; to lose at least one more game, and that assumes New England loses each of its four remaining matchups.<\/p>\n<p>The most winnable game left on the Patriots&#8217; schedule is Sunday&#8217;s Week 15 matchup versus the Arizona Cardinals on the road. The Cardinals have been inconsistent all season, but they are still in the NFC West title race despite having a 6-7 record. Arizona has lost three straight games and scored an average of just 15.3 points in those matchups.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/patriotswire.usatoday.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/71\/2024\/01\/USATSI_22313350_168386657_lowres.jpg?w=1000&amp;h=600&amp;crop=1\" alt=\"ESPN projection model has Patriots drafting even higher in 2025\" \/><\/p>\n<p>If the Patriots don&#8217;t beat the Cardinals, they will likely lose their final three games and finish 3-14, which would be one win lower than their 2023 total. The Patriots&#8217; final three games are against two playoff teams &#8212; Week 16 and 18 against the Buffalo Bills and Week 17 versus the Los Angeles Chargers.<\/p>\n<p>So, what are the chances the Patriots land the No. 1 overall pick for the first time since 1993?<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s what ESPN&#8217;s Football Power Index (FPI) projects for the Patriots&#8217; chances of earning the No. 1 pick, a top-five pick or a top-10 pick.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick:<\/strong>\u00a023.5%<\/li>\n<li><strong>FPI chance to earn top-five pick:<\/strong>\u00a086.0%<\/li>\n<li><strong>FPI chance to earn top-10 pick:<\/strong>\u00a099.7%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>So, as you can see, there&#8217;s a pretty good chance the Patriots&#8217; first-round pick will at least be in the top five. New England&#8217;s 23.5 percent chance to get the No. 1 pick is the second-highest behind only the New York Giants, who ESPN FPI projects having a 41 percent chance at the top overall selection.<\/p>\n<p>The Patriots could go in several different directions with their top-five pick, assuming they keep it. Wide receiver, left tackle, edge rusher and cornerback are their most glaring roster needs.<\/p>\n<p>Either way, it&#8217;s looking like the Patriots will pick in the top five in back-to-back years, which hasn&#8217;t happened since 1993 (Drew Bledsoe, No. 1) and 1994 (Willie McGinest, No. 4).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Patriots aren\u2019t the favorites to land the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, but they do have a decent chance.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6190,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[295,74,385],"class_list":["post-6189","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-new-england-patriots","tag-2025-nfl-draft","tag-new-england-patriots","tag-new-york-giants"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>BREAKING: Where Patriots stand in ESPN FPI&#039;s updated draft order projections - 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